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Amendment 64, which would legalize marijuana for adults over the age of 21 in Colorado, has an eleven point lead according to a new SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted for the Denver Post:
The poll found that the measure, Amendment 64, has the support of 51 percent of likely voters surveyed, compared with 40 percent opposed. Men favor the measure more than women, a common gender split on the issue. But 49 percent of women polled said they support the measure, compared with 39 percent who said they are opposed.
Across every income bracket and in every age group except those 65 and older, more voters told pollsters they support the measure than oppose it, though some of the leads fall within the 4-percentage-point margin of error. Voters younger than 35 support the measure by a margin of 30 percentage points, 61 percent to 31 percent, according to the poll.
The bad news for the campaign is that ballot initiatives tend to lose some support as the election nears. Undecided voters tend to break against initiatives. Holding on to an eleven point lead is an achievable but difficult task for a ballot measure.
All indications are that the final results are going to be very close. Amendment 64 will probably either narrowly win or lose by just a few percentage points. The relative turnout of different age groups could easily make the difference.
4 Comments
Who are the Colorado voters who support both Mitt Romney and marijuana legalization? I’d like to meet one, preferably over a Colorado microbrew.
The number that is important is the support with WOMEN. Its about 50%. If “Moms” arent having panic attacks about pushers at the grade schools then I think things are looking good.
Regulate Marijuana Like Alcohol Act of 2012
“permitting a person twenty-one years of age or older to consume or possess limited amounts of marijuana;
What’s up with possession of “limited amounts”? That’s not regulating like alcohol, there’s no limit on possession of alcohol.
These early iterations of the legalization concept are inevitably riddled with stupid parts and pieces obviously written by people who lack the courage of their professed convictions and bowing towards the intellectually and morally bankrupt drug war as if doing so was going to win over fence sitters. Often these make concessions that are far worse than the status quo, and the people writing them into these referendums should be sent to long term re-education camps in Western China or Siberia to mull over and reflect on the wrongness of their thought processes.