Adults in California narrowly oppose marijuana legalization but likely voters are evenly split on the issue (48% yes – 48% no), according to the Public Policy Institute of California’s latest comprehensive polling of the state. From the PPIC report: Californians are still divided on legalizing marijuana, with 46 percent saying it should be made legal [...]

The Public Policy Institute of California is out with their post election survey, and among the many issues they focus on is why Californians voted for or against Proposition 19, the initiative that would have legalized marijuana. This measure failed last month by a seven points, with 46.5% voting yes and 53.5% voting no. According [...]

Poll after poll shows Prop 19 will come down to the wire. While polling for ballot initiatives is notoriously difficult – not to mention the possibility of a “Reverse Bradley Effect” – one thing has been clear: Latino voters are some of those most opposed to Prop 19.

In order to try to shore up any support amongst Latino voters in California, Just Say Now is launching a phone bank targeted at possible Latino voters and Spanish speakers, with a Spanish-language script to speak to these voters about voting Yes on Prop 19.

Yes on Proposition 19 has just released a set of internal numbers for polling they conducted last week, which compared responses given to live interviewers versus automated telephone polling. Interestingly, there is a huge divide between the level of support expressed for Prop 19 with the two methodologies.  They find that if an individual is [...]

Bottom line: It’s all going to come down to turnout. Will young voters buck historic midterm trends and show up for Prop 19? As Jon Walker noted, among those who have already sent in their ballots, Prop 19 is narrowly losing. But it leads among those who plan to vote and have not done so. If there was ever a measure in need of a crack turnout operation, this is it. Unfortunately, there never really was one assembled due to lack of resources.